CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-06-17T00:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-06-17T00:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/39551/-1
CME Note: Narrow fast CME to the northeast(it looks a bit like a protruding nose of the more complex, likely 2-CME, conglomerate) the source of which is a possible 2-filament eruption east of Active Region 14115: a complex, two-pronged filament eruption with bright post-eruptive arcades centered ~(N21E20) in SDO AIA 304 which is likely associated with the C5.5 flare centered around N21E22 and peaking at 2025-06-17T00:38Z. There is also a more eastern filament that is possibly erupting at the same time. No clear CME arrival signature seen in the solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-06-20T10:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 53.45 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-06-18T04:33Z
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